Exit poll as the name suggests is the poll carried out
when the voters exit from the polling booth. In other words, it is a
kind of survey carried out by various non-governmental organisations
(news channels, press etc.) to know about the possible outcome of the
polls and made predictions based on the information collected. In this
process the voters are enquired about the party they had voted for when
they came out of the polling station/booth.
Exit Poll vs Opinion Poll
Some people get confused between exit polls and opinion polls.
Actually, when voters are asked about the party they had voted for after
they have given the vote, it is called exit poll. But, when voters are
asked about the party they have decided to vote before they have
actually voted, it is called opinion poll.
Latest News: Election Commission bans exit poll till last phase of
elections
According to a recent news report, the Election Commission of India had
banned the disclosure or dissemmination of results of the opinion polls
during 48 hours before the end of the poll, for single-phased elections.
In case of multi-phased elections, the Election Commission had put a
blanket ban on the exit polls till the last round of voting is over.
The decision from the EC has come following a notification from the
Supreme Court of India. In its notification the SC had said that EC has
the right and authority to put a ban on the exit and opinion polls
during election time and it should implement the ban.
Actually, the decision was taken by the bench of K.G. Balakrishnan,
Honb'le Chief Justice of India and Justice P Sathasivam. “The
Election Commission is free to frame its guidelines to regulate
publication of exit polls” said the bench on a petition seeking ban
on such surveys.
Finally, the Commission issued guidelines according to which, “No
result of any opinion or exit poll conducted at any time shall be
published, publicised or disseminated in any manner by print, electronic
or any other media at any time during the period of 48 hours ending with
the hour fixed for closing of poll in an election held in a single
phase.” This order will be applicable to all the states and
territories in which the elections are going to held in different
phases.
According to the EC guidelines, electronic media includes the
following:
- Government and private radio and television and covers satellite
- Direct-to-home
- Terrestrial and cable channels
- Further, dissemination includes: Publication in any newspaper
- Magazine or periodical
- Display on electronic media
- Circulation by means of any pamphlet, poster, placard, handbill
or any other document
Projection by a media company
One of the famous media company has projected their outcome of
Indian election 2009. This is based on the thorough study done by their
top brains, hence nothing is subjected official. This is solely their
estimates and does not bind anyone to take it officially.
STATES
/ UTs |
CONG |
ALLIES |
BJP |
ALLIES |
LEFT |
OTHERS |
TOTAL |
| STATES |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Andhra
Pradesh |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
19 |
42 |
Arunachal
Pradesh |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
| Assam |
6 |
0 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
| Bihar |
4 |
12 |
10 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
| Goa |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
| Gujarat |
6 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
| Haryana |
4 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
Himachal
Pradesh |
1 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Jammu
& Kashmir |
2 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
| Karnataka |
8 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
| Kerala |
10 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
20 |
Madhya
Pradesh |
9 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
| Maharashtra |
10 |
14 |
10 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
| Manipur |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
| Meghalaya |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
| Mizoram |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| Nagaland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| Orissa |
4 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
| Punjab |
6 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
| Rajasthan |
13 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
| Sikkim |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
| Tamil Nadu |
5 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
39 |
| Tripura |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
| Uttar Pradesh |
10 |
0 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
59 |
80 |
| West Bengal |
8 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
42 |
Andaman &
Nicobar Islands |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| Chandigarh |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| Chhattisgarh |
3 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
Dadra &
Nagar Haveli |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| Daman & Diu |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| Jharkhand |
3 |
2 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
| Lakshadweep |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| Delhi |
5 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
| Pondicherry |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| Uttarakhand |
1 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
| Total
|
146 |
55 |
138 |
57 |
40 |
107 |
543 |
UPA
201 |
NDA
195 |
3rd Front
82 |
Other
65 |
Source:
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/India/LS-polls-UPA-ahead-but-only-just/articleshow/4231179.cms
